2024 US elections: There is a tough competition between Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump
2024 US elections: Swing states are receiving a lot of attention as the 2024 US presidential election progresses, and early exit polls are offering valuable information on voter mood in these areas.
In the seven swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, exit polls for the 2024 presidential election show that Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump are running in a close contest, with Harris having a slim lead.
Preliminary findings from an Edison Research exit poll of the seven states show that around 47% of voters thought favorably of Kamala Harris, while approximately 45% thought favorably of Donald Trump. Compared to the 2020 election, when Trump’s popularity was 46%, this is a minor change.
This is an overview of Edison Research’s most recent exit poll findings from important battleground states.
North Carolina
Compared to 47% in the 2020 election, 43% of North Carolina voters said they had a positive opinion of former President Donald Trump. In contrast, 55% of respondents had a negative opinion of him, up from 51% earlier. 48% of voters said they had a good impression of Vice President Kamala Harris, which is just less than the 50% who said they had a favorable opinion of President Joe Biden in 2020. In contrast to Biden’s 47% rating in the last election, Harris’s unfavorable rating rose to 50%.
Nevada
According to the Nevada exit poll, 47% of voters now like Trump, compared to 48% in 2020. He now has a 52% negative rating, up from 50% before. Only 44% of people gave Harris a positive opinion, far lower than Biden’s 52% in 2020, while her negative rating increased from 47% to 55%.
Georgia
At 46%, Trump’s favorability in Georgia held steady, mirroring his 2020 showing. His negative rating dropped from 53% to 52%. Harris’ favorable rating was 49%, which was almost equal to Biden’s prior rating of 50%. Her unfavorable rating was 49%, which was lower than Biden’s 48%.
Arizona
According to Arizona’s exit poll, 46% of voters now prefer Trump, compared to 48% before. In addition, Harris’s favorability rating is 46%, down from Biden’s previous 49% rating.
Michigan
Trump’s favorable rating in Michigan is still at 45%, while his unfavorable rating is still at 53%. Voters rated Harris favorably 48% of the time, compared to 51% before, while they rated her unfavorably 50% of the time, compared to 47% previously.
Wisconsin
Trump’s favorable rating among Wisconsin voters is 44%, which is somewhat higher than his prior rating of 43%. In the meanwhile, 47% of people think highly of Harris, compared to 52% who thought the same of Biden.
Pennsylvania
In Pennsylvania, Trump’s approval rating is stable at 47%, while the negative opinion rate is 51%, which is somewhat lower than the 52% percent from the previous year. Compared to Biden’s previous rating of 50%, Harris’s favorable rating is just 46% of voters, while her unfavorable rating has risen to 53% from 49%.
As voters travel to the polls, these exit surveys show how their opinions are changing, underscoring how competitive this election cycle is in these crucial states. The consequences for both candidates might be substantial in deciding the election’s final conclusion as results keep rolling in throughout Election Day.
The significance of the swing states
With a combined total of 93 electoral votes, these battleground states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—are crucial to any candidate’s quest for the 270 electoral votes required to win the president.
These states are important because of their past voting trends and their propensity to switch between Republican and Democratic candidates.
For example, the “Blue Wall”—which consists of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin—went to Trump in 2016 but was narrowly regained by Biden in 2020.
Harris has to win these states in order to increase her chances of defeating Trump, who wants to take back his prior position.
